Trofense vs Varzim: result 2-1 and analysis
Liga 3Regular Season - 5Kick-off on October 11, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense, Trofa
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What was the result of Trofense vs Varzim?
Trofense won 2-1 on October 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 1′R. FreitasVarzim
- 45′M. DiarraTrofense (pen.)
- 53′M. DiarraTrofense
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trofense have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Varzim have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Sanjoanense(home) | 1-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Guimaraes B(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Vianense(home) | 2-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Fafe(home) | 5-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Varzim(home) | 5-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Guimaraes B(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Fafe(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Paredes(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Trofense(away) | 1-5 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2025 | SC Braga B(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Trofense win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Varzim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2025 | Trofense 5-1 Varzim | Taça de Portugal |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Varzim 2-1 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Trofense 3-2 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Varzim 1-2 Trofense | Liga 3 |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Trofense 0-0 Varzim | Liga 3 |
| Apr 25, 2022 | Trofense 1-0 Varzim | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Trofense score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Varzim score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trofense | 1.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Varzim | 1.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Trofense sit 8th in Liga 3 (3 points from 3 matches) and Varzim sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy