Troina vs Castrovillari: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IRegular Season - 6Kick-off on October 6, 2019 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Gagliano Castelferrato, Gagliano Castelferrato
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What was the result of Troina vs Castrovillari?
Troina won 2-1 on October 6, 2019.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Troina have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Castrovillari have 1, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | San Tommaso(away) | 4-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Acireale(away) | 2-4 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Palmese(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Giugliano(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Messina(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2019 | Palmese(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Messina(away) | 1-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Acireale(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Savoia(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Giugliano(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Troina score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 5; Castrovillari score 1.4 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troina | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 2/5 | 2/5 |
| Castrovillari | 1.4 | 1.4 | 2 | 2/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy