Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh: prediction and stats
Football League - Lowland LeagueRegular SeasonKick-off on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Johnstone Burgh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Troon FC (1,610) and Johnstone Burgh (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Troon FC have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Johnstone Burgh have 3, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Beith(away) | 3-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Renfrew(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 2-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gretna 2008(home) | 4-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh(away) | 0-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Newton Stewart(home) | 3-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pollok(away) | 1-3 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albion Rovers(home) | 2-2 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Celtic II(away) | 1-1 | Football League - Lowland League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Troon FC(home) | 2-0 | Football League - Lowland League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Troon FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Johnstone Burgh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Johnstone Burgh 2-0 Troon FC | Football League - Lowland League |
Last archived meeting: Johnstone Burgh vs Troon FC on Jul 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Troon FC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 6; Johnstone Burgh score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troon FC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/6 | 3/6 |
| Johnstone Burgh | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/9 | 6/9 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troon FC sit 13th in Football League - Lowland League (9 points from 6 matches) and Johnstone Burgh sit 20th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Troon FC | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 20 | Johnstone Burgh | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh?
- The Footlab model makes Troon FC the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Johnstone Burgh.
- Where and when is Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh played?
- Troon FC vs Johnstone Burgh is played on September 16, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC), in the Football League - Lowland League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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