True Democracy vs Home Stars: prediction and stats
Division One LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex, Tema
The Footlab model makes True Democracy the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Home Stars. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win True Democracy vs Home Stars?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate True Democracy (1,499) and Home Stars (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, True Democracy have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Home Stars have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Attram de Visser(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Port City(home) | 1-0 | Division One League |
| May 2, 2026 | Na God(away) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Hakla SC(home) | 3-2 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Inter Allies(away) | 1-2 | Division One League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Okwawu(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
| May 9, 2026 | Great Olympics(away) | 0-2 | Division One League |
| May 3, 2026 | Golden Warriors(home) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Golden Kicks(away) | 1-1 | Division One League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Nania(home) | 0-1 | Division One League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 True Democracy win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Home Stars win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Home Stars 1-0 True Democracy | Division One League |
| Nov 30, 2025 | True Democracy 1-0 Home Stars | Division One League |
Last archived meeting: Home Stars vs True Democracy on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
True Democracy score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Home Stars score 0.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| True Democracy | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Home Stars | 0.8 | 0.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
True Democracy sit 11th in Division One League (1 points from 1 matches) and Home Stars sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Home Stars | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | True Democracy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for True Democracy vs Home Stars?
- The Footlab model makes True Democracy the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Home Stars.
- Where and when is True Democracy vs Home Stars played?
- True Democracy vs Home Stars is played on January 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Nii Adjei Kraku II Sports Complex, in the Division One League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.