Match

Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Truro Sports Hub, Truro, Cornwall

Truro CityDorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Truro City (1,752) and Dorking Wanderers (1,848).

Truro City win36 %
Draw26 %
Dorking Wanderers win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Truro City have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Truro City win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2024Dorking Wanderers 0-0 Truro CityNational League - South
Aug 10, 2024Truro City 1-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City on Nov 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Truro City1.00.674/153/15
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Truro City sit 4th in National League - South (7 points from 3 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Truro City.
Where and when is Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers played?
Truro City vs Dorking Wanderers is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Truro Sports Hub, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Truro City and Dorking Wanderers

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