Match

Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey

Dorking WanderersTruro City

The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Truro City (1,752).

Dorking Wanderers win55 %
Draw23 %
Truro City win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dorking Wanderers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidstone Utd(home)2-3National League - South
Aug 18, 2026AFC Totton(away)3-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Maidenhead(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(home)0-1National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Dulwich Hamlet(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Truro City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Southampton U21(home)2-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chelmsford City(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidenhead(home)2-0National League - South
Jul 25, 2026Plymouth(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Truro City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 30, 2024Dorking Wanderers 0-0 Truro CityNational League - South
Aug 10, 2024Truro City 1-2 Dorking WanderersNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City on Nov 30, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dorking Wanderers1.11.738/159/15
Truro City1.00.674/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Truro City3210407
16Dorking Wanderers4112544

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City?
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Truro City.
Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City played?
Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Dorking Wanderers and Truro City

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