Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Dorking, Surrey
The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Truro City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Dorking Wanderers (1,848) and Truro City (1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dorking Wanderers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Truro City have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 2-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Maidenhead(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Dulwich Hamlet(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Southampton U21(home) | 2-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelmsford City(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Plymouth(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dorking Wanderers win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Truro City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Dorking Wanderers 0-0 Truro City | National League - South |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Truro City 1-2 Dorking Wanderers | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Truro City score 1.0 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorking Wanderers | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Truro City | 1.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dorking Wanderers sit 16th in National League - South (4 points from 4 matches) and Truro City sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Truro City | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 | Dorking Wanderers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City?
- The Footlab model makes Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Truro City.
- Where and when is Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City played?
- Dorking Wanderers vs Truro City is played on August 31, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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