Dover vs Chesham United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Chesham United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dover wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dover vs Chesham United?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dover (1,834) and Chesham United (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dover vs Chesham United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dover
Not enough data to predict the Dover lineup.
Chesham United
Not enough data to predict the Chesham United lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:43 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Chesham United have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hanwell Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 4-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnborough(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chelmsford City(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Real Bedford(home) | 4-3 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Ware(home) | 7-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 4-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Dover win, 2 draws, 0 Chesham United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 2026 | Chesham United 2-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dover 2-2 Chesham United | National League - South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Chesham United 0-1 Dover | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Chesham United vs Dover on Aug 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dover score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 2.0 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Chesham United | 2.0 | 2.2 | 2 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dover sit 8th in National League - South (18 points from 11 matches) and Chesham United sit 19th (10 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dover | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 18 |
| 19 | Chesham United | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 10 |
A question about Dover vs Chesham United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dover vs Chesham United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dover the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Chesham United.
- Where and when is Dover vs Chesham United played?
- Dover vs Chesham United is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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- Mar 20, 2027Chelmsford CityvsWeston-super-Mare
- Mar 20, 2027Truro CityvsDorking Wanderers
- Mar 20, 2027AFC TottonvsMaidenhead
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