Match

Dover vs Chesham United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 40Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Perrys Crabble Stadium, Dover, Kent

DoverChesham United

The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dover vs Chesham United?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Dover (1,727) and Chesham United (1,792).

Dover win38 %
Draw25 %
Chesham United win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dover have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Chesham United have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Chesham United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Farnborough(away)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Braintree(away)2-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)0-3National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Chertsey Town(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dover win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chesham United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Dover 2-2 Chesham UnitedNational League - South
Dec 6, 2025Chesham United 0-1 DoverNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Chesham United on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Chesham United score 1.8 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dover1.21.827/158/15
Chesham United1.81.839/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dover sit 10th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Chesham United sit 18th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
18Chesham United4103473

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dover vs Chesham United?
The Footlab model makes Chesham United the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 38% for Dover.
Where and when is Dover vs Chesham United played?
Dover vs Chesham United is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Perrys Crabble Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dover and Chesham United

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