TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Eckener Straße, Flensburg
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV?
TSB Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,632).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSB Flensburg have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Eckernförder SV have 2, 0 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 TSB Flensburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Eckernförder SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | TSB Flensburg 5-4 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 2-0 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 12, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 2-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 29, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 2-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 22, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 3-2 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Eckernförder SV 1-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSB Flensburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (10 points from 5 matches) and Eckernförder SV sit 14th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 61%, against 19% for a draw and 20% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV played?
- TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Eckener Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.