Union Neumünster vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Neumünster vs Heider SV?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Union Neumünster (1,823) and Heider SV (1,786).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Neumünster have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Neumünster win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Heider SV 4-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Union Neumünster 0-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Heider SV 1-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Union Neumünster 1-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Union Neumünster 3-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Heider SV 2-4 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Heider SV vs Union Neumünster on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Neumünster sit 8th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (8 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Neumünster vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 57%, against 19% for a draw and 24% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Union Neumünster vs Heider SV played?
- Union Neumünster vs Heider SV is played on September 12, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportanlage Stettiner Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.