VfR Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Grümmi-Arena, Neumünster
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfR Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate VfR Neumünster (1,856) and Nordmark Satrup (1,759).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfR Neumünster have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Nordmark Satrup have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 VfR Neumünster win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nordmark Satrup win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup 2-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 2, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 3-1 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 3-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 3-3 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 0-2 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 17, 2023 | VfR Neumünster 3-5 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfR Neumünster sit 1st in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (13 points from 5 matches) and Nordmark Satrup sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfR Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 59%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is VfR Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup played?
- VfR Neumünster vs Nordmark Satrup is played on September 13, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Grümmi-Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.