TSC Backa Topola vs Naftagas: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)TSC Arena, Bačka Topola
The Footlab model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Naftagas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSC Backa Topola vs Naftagas?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate TSC Backa Topola (1,677) and Naftagas (1,607).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSC Backa Topola have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Naftagas have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jedinstvo Ub(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Javor(home) | 1-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | OFK Vršac(home) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Grafičar(home) | 2-1 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dubočica(home) | 2-3 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Loznica(away) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
TSC Backa Topola score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Naftagas score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSC Backa Topola | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Naftagas | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSC Backa Topola sit 4th in Prva Liga (11 points from 5 matches) and Naftagas sit 12th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSC Backa Topola | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 11 |
| 12 | Naftagas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSC Backa Topola vs Naftagas?
- The Footlab model makes TSC Backa Topola the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Naftagas.
- Where and when is TSC Backa Topola vs Naftagas played?
- TSC Backa Topola vs Naftagas is played on February 20, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at TSC Arena, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.