TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Grazer AK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
A very open match: only 67 Elo points separate TSV Hartberg (1,944) and Grazer AK (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Grazer AK have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-8 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 TSV Hartberg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Grazer AK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 1-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Grazer AK 0-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 25, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Grazer AK 0-3 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Grazer AK 0-3 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 31, 2024 | TSV Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Grazer AK score 1.4 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Grazer AK | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 10th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Grazer AK sit 11th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
- The Footlab model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 38%, against 29% for a draw and 33% for Grazer AK.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.