Match

TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg

TSV HartbergGrazer AK

The Footlab AI model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Grazer AK. The most likely score is 1-1. If TSV Hartberg wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,599 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?

TSV Hartberg starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (2,013 vs 1,893).

44%26%30%
TSV Hartberg winDrawGrazer AK win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

TSV Hartberg

4-2-3-1
  1. 22M. Hoffman
  1. 4B. Markuš
  2. 7A. Gattermayer
  3. 5Y. Diarra
  4. 95Nikolaus Feldhofer
  5. 10O. Lukic
  1. 14P. Komposch
  2. 16M. Dalpiaz
  3. 27K. Schopp
  4. 6Habib Coulibaly
  1. 91Á. Pécsi

Grazer AK

3-4-3
  1. 25A. Hofleitner
  2. 10C. Lichtenberger
  3. 11M. Große
  1. 34P. Michorl
  2. 24C. Cvetko
  3. 28Anderson
  4. 32L. Klassen
  1. 21M. Sollbauer
  2. 27Y. Oberleitner
  3. 72Petar Markovic
  1. 23C. Stanković

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Grazer AK have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

TSV Hartberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Grazer AK(away)4-0Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026Austria Vienna(away)1-1Cup
Oct 24, 2026Wolfsberger AC(home)1-0Bundesliga
Oct 16, 2026Rapid Vienna(away)1-3Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Austria Lustenau(home)4-3Bundesliga
Grazer AK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026TSV Hartberg(home)0-4Bundesliga
Oct 27, 2026SCR Altach(home)0-4Cup
Oct 24, 2026WSG Wattens(away)1-1Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2026Sturm Graz(away)1-6Bundesliga
Oct 10, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(home)0-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 TSV Hartberg wins, 2 draws, 0 Grazer AK wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 30, 2026Grazer AK 0-4 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Feb 21, 2026TSV Hartberg 1-0 Grazer AKBundesliga
Oct 18, 2025Grazer AK 0-0 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Apr 25, 2025TSV Hartberg 1-1 Grazer AKBundesliga
Apr 22, 2025Grazer AK 0-3 TSV HartbergBundesliga
Dec 8, 2024Grazer AK 0-3 TSV HartbergBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Grazer AK vs TSV Hartberg on Oct 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

TSV Hartberg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Grazer AK score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
TSV Hartberg1.91.538/159/15
Grazer AK1.32.146/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

TSV Hartberg sit 5th in Bundesliga (17 points from 11 matches) and Grazer AK sit 9th (10 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5TSV Hartberg11524201917
9Grazer AK1124582710

A question about TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK?
The Footlab AI model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Grazer AK.
Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK played?
TSV Hartberg vs Grazer AK is played on December 5, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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