TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for TSV Hartberg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Red Bull Salzburg have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 TSV Hartberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Red Bull Salzburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 1-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| May 17, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 1-3 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2026 | TSV Hartberg 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg 0-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | TSV Hartberg 1-2 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Dec 4, 2024 | Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 10th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for TSV Hartberg.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Red Bull Salzburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.