Grazer AK vs Ried: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 19Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Merkur Arena, Graz
The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ried. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grazer AK vs Ried?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Grazer AK (1,882) and Ried (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grazer AK have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Ried have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 0-8 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fach-Donaufeld(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 1-4 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(home) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austria Lustenau(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Dornbirn(away) | 5-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Grazer AK win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Ried win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ried 1-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Ried 2-1 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Grazer AK 1-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Grazer AK 2-1 Ried | Bundesliga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Ried 0-0 Grazer AK | Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Ried 0-1 Grazer AK | 2. Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grazer AK score 1.4 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ried score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grazer AK | 1.4 | 2.0 | 4 | 5/15 | 11/15 |
| Ried | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grazer AK sit 11th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Ried sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grazer AK vs Ried?
- The Footlab model makes Grazer AK the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Ried.
- Where and when is Grazer AK vs Ried played?
- Grazer AK vs Ried is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Merkur Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.