TSV St. Johann vs Leonfelden: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 29Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz St. Johann, St. Johann im Pongau
The Footlab model makes TSV St. Johann the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Leonfelden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV St. Johann vs Leonfelden?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate TSV St. Johann (1,534) and Leonfelden (1,529).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV St. Johann have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Leonfelden have 1, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kuchl(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | LASK Juniors(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | UFC Hallein(home) | 4-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Gurten(home) | 2-5 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ried II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(home) | 0-5 | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
TSV St. Johann score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Leonfelden score 1.6 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV St. Johann | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Leonfelden | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV St. Johann sit 9th in Regionalliga - North (6 points from 5 matches) and Leonfelden sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | TSV St. Johann | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Leonfelden | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV St. Johann vs Leonfelden?
- The Footlab model makes TSV St. Johann the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Leonfelden.
- Where and when is TSV St. Johann vs Leonfelden played?
- TSV St. Johann vs Leonfelden is played on May 22, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz St. Johann, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.