Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade Leburton, Tubize
The Footlab model makes Tubize the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Union Saint-Gilloise II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
Tubize starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (2,010 vs 1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tubize have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Union Saint-Gilloise II have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | Francs Borains(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Rochefort(home) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Meux(away) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 0-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 2-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tubize win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Union Saint-Gilloise II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Tubize 1-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 0-3 Tubize | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Tubize 2-1 Union Saint-Gilloise II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 0-3 Tubize | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Union Saint-Gilloise II 1-3 Tubize | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Tubize 2-0 Union Saint-Gilloise II | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
Last archived meeting: Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tubize score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Union Saint-Gilloise II score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tubize | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | 1.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tubize sit 2nd in First Amateur Division (13 points from 5 matches) and Union Saint-Gilloise II sit 4th (6 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tubize | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | Union Saint-Gilloise II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II?
- The Footlab model makes Tubize the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Union Saint-Gilloise II.
- Where and when is Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II played?
- Tubize vs Union Saint-Gilloise II is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Leburton, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.