Flénu vs Olympic Charleroi: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Terrain Rue des Produits, Flénu
The Footlab model makes Flénu the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Olympic Charleroi. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flénu vs Olympic Charleroi?
Flénu starts as the favourite with a 274-point Elo edge (1,933 vs 1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flénu have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Olympic Charleroi have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 3, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(away) | 5-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jette(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(away) | 0-5 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 0-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Liège(away) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 20, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 1-2 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Flénu score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Olympic Charleroi score 0.7 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flénu | 2.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Olympic Charleroi | 0.7 | 2.3 | 0 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flénu vs Olympic Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes Flénu the favourite at 68%, against 18% for a draw and 14% for Olympic Charleroi.
- Where and when is Flénu vs Olympic Charleroi played?
- Flénu vs Olympic Charleroi is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Terrain Rue des Produits, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.