RWDM vs Rochefort: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 6Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Edmond Machtensstadion, Bruxelles
The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for RWDM. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RWDM vs Rochefort?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate RWDM (1,760) and Rochefort (1,804).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RWDM have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Rochefort have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | KRC Genk II(away) | 2-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 1-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | RSC Anderlecht II(home) | 2-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 2-3 | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 21, 2026 | K. Lierse S.K.(home) | 1-1 | Challenger Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 RWDM win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Rochefort win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2020 | Rochefort 1-8 RWDM | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
RWDM score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RWDM | 1.5 | 1.9 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RWDM vs Rochefort?
- The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for RWDM.
- Where and when is RWDM vs Rochefort played?
- RWDM vs Rochefort is played on September 26, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Edmond Machtensstadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.