Tung Sing vs Citizen AA: result 2-5 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 10, 2016 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Kwong Fuk Park Football Pitch, Tai Po
Full time
What was the result of Tung Sing vs Citizen AA?
Citizen AA won 2-5 on December 10, 2016.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Tung Sing have 5 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Citizen AA have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | Wing Yee(away) | 2-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Kwai Tsing(home) | 4-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Kwun Tong(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Eastern District(away) | 3-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Sun Hei(home) | 1-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | Sun Hei(home) | 2-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Rangers(away) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Resources Capital(away) | 2-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Yau Tsim Mong(home) | 8-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Shatin(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tung Sing score 2.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 12; Citizen AA score 2.4 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tung Sing | 2.6 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/12 | 10/12 |
| Citizen AA | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tung Sing sit 5th in HKFA 1st Division (23 points from 13 matches) and Citizen AA sit 12th (4 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tung Sing | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 12 | 23 |
| 12 | Citizen AA | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 46 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy