Tunisia vs Mali: result 1-2 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipQuarter-finalsKick-off on January 31, 2016 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade olympique Hammadi-Agrebi, Radès
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What was the result of Tunisia vs Mali?
Mali won 1-2 on January 31, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 14′M. ManserTunisia
- 71′A. DiengMali (pen.)
- 80′A. DiarraMali
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tunisia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Mali have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | Niger(away) | 5-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 22, 2016 | Nigeria(home) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2016 | Guinea(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Mauritania(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2015 | Mauritania(away) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | Zambia(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 23, 2016 | Zimbabwe(away) | 1-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 19, 2016 | Uganda(home) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Botswana(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Botswana(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Tunisia score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mali score 1.2 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tunisia | 1.3 | 1.1 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Mali | 1.2 | 1.0 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy