Tupy vs Estrela do Norte: result 0-1 and analysis
Capixaba BRegular Season - 4Kick-off on July 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Salvador Venâncio da Costa, Vitória, Espírito Santo
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What was the result of Tupy vs Estrela do Norte?
Estrela do Norte won 0-1 on July 25, 2026.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Tupy have 3 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Estrela do Norte have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | Sport Brasil ES(away) | 1-5 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rive(home) | 0-2 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Pinheiros(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba B |
| Oct 26, 2024 | GEL(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba B |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Capixaba SC(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Pinheiros(home) | 5-0 | Capixaba B |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rive(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba B |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Forte FC(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Forte FC(away) | 1-2 | Capixaba B |
| Sep 20, 2025 | GEL(away) | 5-0 | Capixaba B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tupy score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 11; Estrela do Norte score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tupy | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 5/11 | 5/11 |
| Estrela do Norte | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tupy sit 6th in Capixaba B (10 points from 8 matches) and Estrela do Norte sit 1st (19 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Estrela do Norte | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 19 |
| 6 | Tupy | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy