Match

Turégano vs Bembibre: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 34Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)

TuréganoBembibre

The Footlab AI model makes Turégano the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Bembibre. The most likely score is 1-1. If Turégano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 3,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Bembibre?

A very open match: only 19 Elo points separate Turégano (1,733) and Bembibre (1,714).

39%27%34%
Turégano winDrawBembibre win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Turégano vs Bembibre

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Turégano

4-3-3
  1. 7Alcubilla
  2. 10Juan Núñez
  3. 11Carlos Cotrina
  1. 5David Aguado
  2. 14Guillermo Martín Duque
  3. 20Adri González
  1. 3David Arranz Sanz
  2. 2Javier García
  3. 4Julio Gómez
  4. 16Marcos San Miguel
  1. 1Álvaro González

Bembibre

Not enough data to predict the Bembibre lineup.

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 07:05 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 11 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bembibre have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Palencia CF(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 17, 2026Colegios Diocesanos(home)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Villaralbo(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 3, 2026Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 26, 2026Unionistas II(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Bembibre
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 24, 2026Villaralbo(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 17, 2026Arandina(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 10, 2026Unionistas II(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Oct 4, 2026La Virgen del Camino(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
Sep 27, 2026Guijuelo(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 8

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 11; Bembibre score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Turégano1.11.617/116/11
Bembibre1.61.6211/158/15

Over the last 11 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Turégano sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 (7 points from 8 matches) and Bembibre sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Bembibre842210814
13Turégano81439127

A question about Turégano vs Bembibre?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Bembibre?
The Footlab AI model makes Turégano the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Bembibre.
Where and when is Turégano vs Bembibre played?
Turégano vs Bembibre is played on May 9, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Ready to know everything about football?