Turku PS vs Inter Turku: prediction and stats
VeikkausliigaRegular Season - 21Kick-off on August 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Veritas Stadion, Åbo
The Footlab model makes Inter Turku the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Turku PS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Turku PS vs Inter Turku?
Inter Turku starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,964 vs 1,739).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Turku PS have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Inter Turku have 7, 7 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | VPS(away) | 3-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | KuPS(away) | 1-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Mariehamn(home) | 3-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HJK Helsinki(away) | 0-1 | Veikkausliiga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Ilves(home) | 1-3 | Veikkausliiga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | AC Oulu(away) | 3-2 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lahti(home) | 0-0 | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Turku PS win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Inter Turku win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Inter Turku 2-1 Turku PS | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Turku PS 0-3 Inter Turku | League Cup |
| Jul 3, 2024 | Inter Turku 3-2 Turku PS | Suomen Cup |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Inter Turku 3-0 Turku PS | Veikkausliiga |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Turku PS 1-0 Inter Turku | Veikkausliiga |
| Feb 29, 2020 | Inter Turku 1-0 Turku PS | Suomen Cup |
Last archived meeting: Inter Turku vs Turku PS on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Turku PS score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Inter Turku score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turku PS | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Inter Turku | 1.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Turku PS sit 8th in Veikkausliiga (29 points from 20 matches) and Inter Turku sit 2nd (38 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Inter Turku | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 16 | 38 |
| 8 | Turku PS | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 22 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Turku PS vs Inter Turku?
- The Footlab model makes Inter Turku the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Turku PS.
- Where and when is Turku PS vs Inter Turku played?
- Turku PS vs Inter Turku is played on August 23, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Veritas Stadion, in the Veikkausliiga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.