Tus Dassendorf vs Sasel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 31Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Dassendorf, Dassendorf
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Sasel. The most likely score is 3-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tus Dassendorf vs Sasel?
Tus Dassendorf starts as the favourite with a 259-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tus Dassendorf have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Sasel have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Tus Dassendorf win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sasel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Sasel 1-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 6-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Sasel 0-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Tus Dassendorf 4-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Sasel 1-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 11, 2023 | Tus Dassendorf 2-0 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Sasel vs Tus Dassendorf on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd in Oberliga - Hamburg (76 points from 34 matches) and Sasel sit 10th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tus Dassendorf vs Sasel?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Sasel.
- Where and when is Tus Dassendorf vs Sasel played?
- Tus Dassendorf vs Sasel is played on April 24, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dassendorf, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.