Sasel vs Teutonia Ottensen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 32Kick-off on April 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Parkweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Teutonia Ottensen. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sasel vs Teutonia Ottensen?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Sasel (1,796) and Teutonia Ottensen (1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sasel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Teutonia Ottensen have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Harksheide(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 10, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sasel win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Teutonia Ottensen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Teutonia Ottensen 4-2 Sasel | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Sasel 3-1 Teutonia Ottensen | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Sasel 1-3 Teutonia Ottensen | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Teutonia Ottensen 4-1 Sasel | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Teutonia Ottensen vs Sasel on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sasel score 2.5 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Teutonia Ottensen score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sasel | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Teutonia Ottensen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sasel sit 10th in Oberliga - Hamburg (50 points from 34 matches) and Teutonia Ottensen sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 66 | 52 |
| 10 | Sasel | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 88 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sasel vs Teutonia Ottensen?
- The Footlab model makes Sasel the favourite at 53%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Teutonia Ottensen.
- Where and when is Sasel vs Teutonia Ottensen played?
- Sasel vs Teutonia Ottensen is played on April 28, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Parkweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.