Tus Dassendorf vs Victoria Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sportplatz Dassendorf, Dassendorf
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Victoria Hamburg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tus Dassendorf vs Victoria Hamburg?
Tus Dassendorf starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,868).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tus Dassendorf have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Victoria Hamburg have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niendorfer TSV(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Paloma(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Nikola Tesla(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 11, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 15, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tus Dassendorf win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Victoria Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg 5-3 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 1-2 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 2-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Victoria Hamburg 2-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Tus Dassendorf 1-0 Victoria Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Victoria Hamburg 2-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Victoria Hamburg vs Tus Dassendorf on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Victoria Hamburg score 2.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Victoria Hamburg | 2.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd in Oberliga - Hamburg (76 points from 34 matches) and Victoria Hamburg sit 4th (64 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 4 | Victoria Hamburg | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 83 | 48 | 64 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tus Dassendorf vs Victoria Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 60%, against 20% for a draw and 21% for Victoria Hamburg.
- Where and when is Tus Dassendorf vs Victoria Hamburg played?
- Tus Dassendorf vs Victoria Hamburg is played on October 10, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sportplatz Dassendorf, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.