ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 11Kick-off on October 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Niendorfer TSV. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
ETSV Hamburg starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (2,018 vs 1,901).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ETSV Hamburg have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Niendorfer TSV have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 0-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | HT16(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | HEBC(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 ETSV Hamburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Niendorfer TSV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 2-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 2-3 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Niendorfer TSV 4-0 ETSV Hamburg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 1, 2024 | ETSV Hamburg 0-1 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Niendorfer TSV 0-4 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 17, 2024 | ETSV Hamburg 3-3 Niendorfer TSV | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Niendorfer TSV score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Niendorfer TSV | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ETSV Hamburg sit 1st in Oberliga - Hamburg (83 points from 34 matches) and Niendorfer TSV sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 9 | Niendorfer TSV | 34 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 75 | 57 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 65%, against 17% for a draw and 18% for Niendorfer TSV.
- Where and when is ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV played?
- ETSV Hamburg vs Niendorfer TSV is played on October 9, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Mittlerer Landweg, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.