TuS Hordel vs Sprockhovel: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Sprockhovel. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TuS Hordel vs Sprockhovel?
TuS Hordel starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,747 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, TuS Hordel have 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Sprockhovel have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Westfalia Kinderhaus(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
TuS Hordel score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 3; Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TuS Hordel | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0 | 2/3 | 1/3 |
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TuS Hordel sit 15th in Oberliga - Westfalen (1 points from 2 matches) and Sprockhovel sit 6th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | TuS Hordel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TuS Hordel vs Sprockhovel?
- The Footlab model makes TuS Hordel the favourite at 56%, against 21% for a draw and 23% for Sprockhovel.
- Where and when is TuS Hordel vs Sprockhovel played?
- TuS Hordel vs Sprockhovel is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026MaaslingenvsSchermbeck
- Oct 18, 2026Lippstadt 08vsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 18, 2026ErkenschwickvsASC Dortmund
- Oct 18, 2026GievenbeckvsVreden
- Oct 18, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVerl II
- Oct 18, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsArminia II
- Oct 18, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsHiltrup
- Oct 18, 2026EnnepetalvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen