Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab AI model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund?
ASC Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 184-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erkenschwick
Not enough data to predict the Erkenschwick lineup.
ASC Dortmund
Not enough data to predict the ASC Dortmund lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:23 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; ASC Dortmund have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Verl II(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arminia II(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Victoria Clarholz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Preußen Münster II(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Schermbeck(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 27, 2026 | TuS Hordel(home) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lippstadt 08(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Erkenschwick wins, 1 draw, 2 ASC Dortmund wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Erkenschwick 2-3 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 2, 2025 | ASC Dortmund 2-4 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Erkenschwick 0-5 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 10, 2024 | ASC Dortmund 2-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Erkenschwick 3-0 ASC Dortmund | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 3, 2023 | ASC Dortmund 0-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; ASC Dortmund score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| ASC Dortmund | 2.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 5th in Oberliga - Westfalen (18 points from 10 matches) and ASC Dortmund sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Erkenschwick | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | ASC Dortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 16 |
A question about Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASC Dortmund the favourite at 52%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund played?
- Erkenschwick vs ASC Dortmund is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 16, 2026Lippstadt 08vsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 17, 2026GievenbeckvsVreden
- Oct 18, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsArminia II
- Oct 18, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsHiltrup
- Oct 18, 2026MaaslingenvsSchermbeck
- Oct 18, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVerl II
- Oct 18, 2026TuS HordelvsSprockhovel
- Oct 18, 2026EnnepetalvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen