Gievenbeck vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 11Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Senger Arena, Münster
The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Vreden. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gievenbeck vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Gievenbeck (1,724) and Vreden (1,658).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gievenbeck have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maaslingen(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ennepetal(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 30, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Gievenbeck win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2026 | Gievenbeck 4-2 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Vreden 2-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Gievenbeck 1-2 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Vreden 0-1 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 3, 2024 | Gievenbeck 4-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Vreden 0-0 Gievenbeck | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Gievenbeck score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gievenbeck | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gievenbeck sit 9th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Gievenbeck | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gievenbeck vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Gievenbeck the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Gievenbeck vs Vreden played?
- Gievenbeck vs Vreden is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Senger Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 18, 2026MaaslingenvsSchermbeck
- Oct 18, 2026Westfalia KinderhausvsHiltrup
- Oct 18, 2026Lippstadt 08vsEintracht Rheine
- Oct 18, 2026ErkenschwickvsASC Dortmund
- Oct 18, 2026Preußen Münster IIvsVerl II
- Oct 18, 2026Victoria ClarholzvsArminia II
- Oct 18, 2026EnnepetalvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Oct 18, 2026TuS HordelvsSprockhovel