Tusker vs Homeboyz: result 0-1 and analysis
Shield CupFinalKick-off on July 1, 2023 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
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What was the result of Tusker vs Homeboyz?
Homeboyz won 0-1 on July 1, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 73′?Homeboyz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tusker have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Homeboyz have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2023 | Vihiga Bullets(away) | 4-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2023 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Wazito FC(away) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | GOR Mahia(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-0 | Shield Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2023 | Bidco United(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 21, 2023 | GOR Mahia(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 4, 2023 | Mathare United(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Talanta(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | AFC Leopards(home) | 2-1 | Shield Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Tusker win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Homeboyz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Homeboyz 1-2 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| May 8, 2022 | Tusker 2-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2021 | Homeboyz 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2021 | Tusker 2-0 Homeboyz | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 10, 2021 | Homeboyz 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Tusker score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Homeboyz score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tusker | 1.3 | 0.3 | 12 | 2/15 | 2/15 |
| Homeboyz | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy