Tvååker vs Lund: prediction and stats
Ettan - SödraSödra - 30Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Övrevi, Tvååker
The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tvååker vs Lund?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Tvååker (1,633) and Lund (1,603).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tvååker have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lund have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Olympic(away) | 4-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kristianstad(away) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atvidabergs FF(home) | 1-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Utsikten(home) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 26, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(away) | 2-4 | Ettan - Södra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Malmo(away) | 5-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hässleholms IF(home) | 0-3 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Skövde AIK(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Trelleborg(away) | 2-2 | Ettan - Södra |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Skövde AIK(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Södra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tvååker win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lund win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lund 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Tvååker 0-1 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| May 19, 2024 | Lund 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Tvååker 2-1 Lund | Ettan - Södra |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Lund 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Lund 1-0 Tvååker | Ettan - Södra |
How many goals should we expect?
Tvååker score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lund score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tvååker | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Lund | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tvååker sit 7th in Ettan - Södra (28 points from 18 matches) and Lund sit 4th (31 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lund | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 24 | 31 |
| 7 | Tvååker | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tvååker vs Lund?
- The Footlab model makes Tvååker the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Lund.
- Where and when is Tvååker vs Lund played?
- Tvååker vs Lund is played on November 7, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Övrevi, in the Ettan - Södra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.