UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Mayayo, Sangonera la Verde
The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Pulpileño. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate UCAM Murcia II (1,841) and Atlético Pulpileño (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCAM Murcia II have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Atlético Pulpileño have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Muleño(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 3-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | El Palmar(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Unión Molinense(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Cruz(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 UCAM Murcia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Atlético Pulpileño win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II 2-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Mar 19, 2025 | UCAM Murcia II 0-1 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 1-0 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Atlético Pulpileño 0-1 UCAM Murcia II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 26, 2023 | UCAM Murcia II 1-0 Atlético Pulpileño | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCAM Murcia II score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Pulpileño score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCAM Murcia II | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Atlético Pulpileño | 0.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCAM Murcia II sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (55 points from 34 matches) and Atlético Pulpileño sit 9th (50 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | UCAM Murcia II | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55 | 37 | 55 |
| 9 | Atlético Pulpileño | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30 | 29 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño?
- The Footlab model makes UCAM Murcia II the favourite at 53%, against 27% for a draw and 20% for Atlético Pulpileño.
- Where and when is UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño played?
- UCAM Murcia II vs Atlético Pulpileño is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Mayayo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.