Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 · Matchday 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab AI model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Balsicas Atlético wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 6,369 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Balsicas Atlético (1,776) and El Palmar (1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Balsicas Atlético
Not enough data to predict the Balsicas Atlético lineup.
El Palmar
Not enough data to predict the El Palmar lineup.
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 08:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; El Palmar have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | San Javier(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cartagena LU II(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Balsicas Atlético win, 2 draws, 3 El Palmar wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | El Palmar 1-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 0-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | El Palmar 0-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Balsicas Atlético 1-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | El Palmar 0-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Balsicas Atlético 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Balsicas Atlético on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.9 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Balsicas Atlético | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 13 |
A question about Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab AI model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.