Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, Torre-Pacheco
The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for El Palmar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar?
A very open match: only 56 Elo points separate Balsicas Atlético (1,696) and El Palmar (1,640).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Balsicas Atlético have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; El Palmar have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Yeclano II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | SFC Minerva(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Águilas II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | SFC Minerva(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCAM Murcia II(home) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Balsicas Atlético win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 El Palmar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | El Palmar 1-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Balsicas Atlético 0-0 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | El Palmar 0-1 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Balsicas Atlético 1-2 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Feb 11, 2024 | El Palmar 0-0 Balsicas Atlético | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Balsicas Atlético 0-1 El Palmar | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: El Palmar vs Balsicas Atlético on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Balsicas Atlético score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; El Palmar score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balsicas Atlético | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| El Palmar | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Balsicas Atlético sit 13th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (36 points from 34 matches) and El Palmar sit 14th (32 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Balsicas Atlético | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 38 | 46 | 36 |
| 14 | El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 48 | 32 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar?
- The Footlab model makes Balsicas Atlético the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for El Palmar.
- Where and when is Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar played?
- Balsicas Atlético vs El Palmar is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de Fútbol de Balsicas, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.