Santomera vs Bala Azul: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 13Group 13 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Limonar, Santomera
The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bala Azul. The most likely score is 1-1. If Santomera wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santomera vs Bala Azul?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Santomera (1,727) and Bala Azul (1,714).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Santomera vs Bala Azul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Santomera
Not enough data to predict the Santomera lineup.
Bala Azul
Not enough data to predict the Bala Azul lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santomera have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bala Azul have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Balsicas Atlético(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Bullas Deportivo(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Algar(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Los Garres(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Atlético Pulpileño(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Alcantarilla(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Águilas II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Santomera wins, 2 draws, 2 Bala Azul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Santomera 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Bala Azul 3-0 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Bala Azul 2-1 Santomera | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Dec 15, 2024 | Santomera 1-1 Bala Azul | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
Last archived meeting: Santomera vs Bala Azul on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santomera score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Bala Azul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santomera | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Bala Azul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santomera sit 1st in Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 (16 points from 6 matches) and Bala Azul sit 10th (8 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santomera | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 10 | Bala Azul | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8 |
A question about Santomera vs Bala Azul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santomera vs Bala Azul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Santomera the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Bala Azul.
- Where and when is Santomera vs Bala Azul played?
- Santomera vs Bala Azul is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Limonar, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 13.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Los GarresvsSFC Minerva
- Dec 6, 2026Olímpico TotanavsMazarrón FC
- Dec 6, 2026UCAM Murcia IIvsAtlético Pulpileño
- Dec 6, 2026Cartagena LU IIvsAlcantarilla
- Dec 6, 2026AlgarvsUnión Molinense
- Dec 6, 2026Balsicas AtléticovsEl Palmar
- Dec 6, 2026Bullas DeportivovsSanta Cruz
- Dec 6, 2026San JaviervsÁguilas II