Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ucam Murcia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense?
On Elo ratings, Ucam Murcia has 1,950 points and Castellonense 1,890.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ucam Murcia
4-3-3- 11Dani Aquino
- 7Alvarito
- 18J. Pontones
- 19Juanma Bravo
- 8U. Urzelay
- 20Alberto Soto
- 6O. Jaiteh
- 2J. Ruiz
- 4Ramirez Javi
- 23M. Sevila
- 1F. Ackermann
Castellonense
4-3-3- 9I. Garijo
- 15Didac Castellá
- 16J. Rodriguez
- 18Diego de Pedro
- 19J. Winstanley
- 10A. Murillo
- 3Primi Férriz
- 5S. Candel
- 22C. Badal Andani
- 7J. Pulpon
- 1J. Company
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 05:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Castellonense have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Mallorca II(home) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 5-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Valencia II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-2 | Copa del Rey |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Intercity(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Ucam Murcia wins, 0 draws, 1 Castellonense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Castellonense 2-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Castellonense vs Ucam Murcia on Sep 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ucam Murcia sit 1st in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (18 points from 9 matches) and Castellonense sit 4th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ucam Murcia | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Castellonense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 16 |
A question about Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense played?
- Ucam Murcia vs Castellonense is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.