Alcoyano vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 25Kick-off on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Alcoyano (1,931) and La Nucía (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; La Nucía have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hércules(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Nucía(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | SS Reyes(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Porreres(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 31, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Alcoyano win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 La Nucía win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | La Nucía 1-2 Alcoyano | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2024 | La Nucía 0-3 Alcoyano | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 30, 2023 | Alcoyano 1-1 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jan 8, 2023 | La Nucía 1-1 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Feb 21, 2021 | Alcoyano 3-2 La Nucía | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | La Nucía 0-0 Alcoyano | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 1.1 | 0.5 | 8 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Alcoyano | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 30 | 20 | 55 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs La Nucía played?
- Alcoyano vs La Nucía is played on March 7, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.