Ucam Murcia vs La Unión Atlético: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for La Unión Atlético. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ucam Murcia vs La Unión Atlético?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Ucam Murcia (1,911) and La Unión Atlético (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; La Unión Atlético have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Unión Atlético(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Puente Genil(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(away) | 2-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Real Jaén(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Recreativo Huelva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Ucam Murcia win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 La Unión Atlético win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Unión Atlético 4-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Ucam Murcia 1-2 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Ucam Murcia 0-1 La Unión Atlético | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 10, 2024 | La Unión Atlético 1-0 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 14, 2024 | La Unión Atlético 0-0 Ucam Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 18, 2024 | La Unión Atlético 2-0 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: La Unión Atlético vs Ucam Murcia on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; La Unión Atlético score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| La Unión Atlético | 1.4 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ucam Murcia vs La Unión Atlético?
- The Footlab model makes Ucam Murcia the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for La Unión Atlético.
- Where and when is Ucam Murcia vs La Unión Atlético played?
- Ucam Murcia vs La Unión Atlético is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.