Alcoyano vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal El Collao, Alcoy
The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Alcoyano wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 3,018 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alcoyano vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Alcoyano (1,948) and Castellonense (1,903).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Alcoyano vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Alcoyano
Not enough data to predict the Alcoyano lineup.
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 08:14 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alcoyano have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Castellonense have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca II(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Poblense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Alcoyano score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alcoyano | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alcoyano sit 8th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (10 points from 6 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcoyano | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
A question about Alcoyano vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alcoyano vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Alcoyano the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Alcoyano vs Castellonense played?
- Alcoyano vs Castellonense is played on March 21, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal El Collao, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.