Ucam Murcia vs Lugo: result 1-2 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 3, 2016 at 05:15 PM (UTC)Estadio BeSoccer La Condomina, Murcia
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What was the result of Ucam Murcia vs Lugo?
Lugo won 1-2 on December 3, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 9′NonoUcam Murcia
- 14′PedrazaLugo
- 76′PedrazaLugo
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ucam Murcia have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Lugo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | Numancia(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Tenerife(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Girona(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Nov 5, 2016 | Rayo Vallecano(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Oviedo(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2016 | Tenerife(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 19, 2016 | Girona(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Nov 13, 2016 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Nov 6, 2016 | Oviedo(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 30, 2016 | Cadiz(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Ucam Murcia score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lugo score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ucam Murcia | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Lugo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy