Match

UCSA vs Kolos Kovalivka II: prediction and stats

Persha LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv

UCSAKolos Kovalivka II

The Footlab model makes UCSA the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Kolos Kovalivka II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win UCSA vs Kolos Kovalivka II?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate UCSA (1,608) and Kolos Kovalivka II (1,658).

UCSA win35 %
Draw30 %
Kolos Kovalivka II win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Kolos Kovalivka II have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

UCSA
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kolos Kovalivka(home)0-3Cup
Aug 15, 2026SK Poltava(away)0-0Persha Liga
Aug 7, 2026Nyva Ternopil(home)1-0Persha Liga
Jul 31, 2026Oleksandria(home)4-4Persha Liga
Jul 25, 2026Polissya II(away)2-2Persha Liga
Kolos Kovalivka II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Yarud Mariupol'(away)1-3Persha Liga
Aug 8, 2026Ahrobiznes Volochysk(home)1-2Persha Liga
Aug 2, 2026Viktoriya Mykolaivka(away)0-2Persha Liga
Jul 26, 2026Prykarpattia(home)1-0Persha Liga
Jul 18, 2026Obolon'-Brovar(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

UCSA score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kolos Kovalivka II score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
UCSA1.11.936/159/15
Kolos Kovalivka II1.71.076/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

UCSA sit 6th in Persha Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Kolos Kovalivka II sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6UCSA4130766
14Kolos Kovalivka II4103373

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for UCSA vs Kolos Kovalivka II?
The Footlab model makes UCSA the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Kolos Kovalivka II.
Where and when is UCSA vs Kolos Kovalivka II played?
UCSA vs Kolos Kovalivka II is played on May 15, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: UCSA and Kolos Kovalivka II

Ready to know everything about football?