UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for UCSA. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate UCSA (1,608) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka (1,687).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCSA have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Viktoriya Mykolaivka have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 0-3 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oleksandria(home) | 4-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Polissya II(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kulykiv(home) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lokomotiv Kyiv(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka II(home) | 2-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 UCSA win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Viktoriya Mykolaivka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | UCSA 1-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 2-0 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka 5-1 UCSA | Persha Liga |
| Sep 29, 2024 | UCSA 1-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Persha Liga |
| Jul 15, 2024 | UCSA 0-1 Viktoriya Mykolaivka | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCSA score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Viktoriya Mykolaivka score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCSA | 1.1 | 1.9 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 1.5 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCSA sit 6th in Persha Liga (6 points from 4 matches) and Viktoriya Mykolaivka sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viktoriya Mykolaivka | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | UCSA | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka?
- The Footlab model makes Viktoriya Mykolaivka the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for UCSA.
- Where and when is UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka played?
- UCSA vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka is played on September 26, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion NTK im. B. M. Bannikova, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.