Uherský Brod vs Frýdek-Místek: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 7Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Orelský stadion, Uherský Brod
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Uherský Brod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Uherský Brod vs Frýdek-Místek?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Uherský Brod (1,793) and Frýdek-Místek (1,844).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Uherský Brod have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Frýdek-Místek have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 1-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sokol Tasovice(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Karviná II(away) | 0-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Vítkovice(home) | 4-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Uherský Brod win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Frýdek-Místek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Uherský Brod 2-2 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jun 15, 2024 | Uherský Brod 4-4 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Frýdek-Místek 1-1 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Frýdek-Místek 4-1 Uherský Brod | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Uherský Brod 2-1 Frýdek-Místek | 3. liga - MSFL |
Last archived meeting: Frýdek-Místek vs Uherský Brod on May 24, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Uherský Brod score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uherský Brod | 1.8 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Uherský Brod sit 11th in 3. liga - MSFL (6 points from 4 matches) and Frýdek-Místek sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Uherský Brod | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Uherský Brod vs Frýdek-Místek?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Uherský Brod.
- Where and when is Uherský Brod vs Frýdek-Místek played?
- Uherský Brod vs Frýdek-Místek is played on September 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Orelský stadion, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.