Frýdek-Místek vs Havířov: prediction and stats
3. liga - MSFLMSFL - 8Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion Stovky, Frýdek-Místek
The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Havířov. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frýdek-Místek vs Havířov?
Frýdek-Místek starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frýdek-Místek have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Havířov have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Unie Hlubina(away) | 2-3 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vsetín(home) | 2-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Zbrojovka Brno II(away) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Hranice(home) | 1-0 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Kozlovice(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hranice(away) | 0-6 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Karviná II(home) | 2-2 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Belotin(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vítkovice(away) | 1-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Zlín II(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - MSFL |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Frýdek-Místek win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Havířov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Havířov 1-4 Frýdek-Místek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 29, 2025 | Frýdek-Místek 1-0 Havířov | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2023 | Havířov 1-4 Frýdek-Místek | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Havířov 1-4 Frýdek-Místek | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Havířov vs Frýdek-Místek on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Frýdek-Místek score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Havířov score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frýdek-Místek | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Havířov | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frýdek-Místek sit 7th in 3. liga - MSFL (7 points from 4 matches) and Havířov sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Frýdek-Místek | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Havířov | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frýdek-Místek vs Havířov?
- The Footlab model makes Frýdek-Místek the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Havířov.
- Where and when is Frýdek-Místek vs Havířov played?
- Frýdek-Místek vs Havířov is played on September 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion Stovky, in the 3. liga - MSFL.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.