Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Central Stallions. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
Ulaanbaatar starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,720 vs 1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulaanbaatar
Not enough data to predict the Ulaanbaatar lineup.
Central Stallions
Not enough data to predict the Central Stallions lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 12:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulaanbaatar have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Central Stallions have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Khovd Western(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Erchim(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ulaangom City(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Khovd(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Hunters(home) | 5-3 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deren(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Khovd Western(home) | 8-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Erchim(away) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ulaangom City(home) | 4-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Khovd(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ulaanbaatar wins, 1 draw, 3 Central Stallions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 17, 2026 | Central Stallions 1-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ulaanbaatar 1-1 Central Stallions | Premier League |
| Jul 9, 2025 | Central Stallions 0-3 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Ulaanbaatar 0-3 Central Stallions | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Central Stallions 1-11 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Ulaanbaatar 1-2 Central Stallions | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Central Stallions vs Ulaanbaatar on Jun 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulaanbaatar score 4.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Central Stallions score 3.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar | 4.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Central Stallions | 3.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulaanbaatar sit 2nd in Premier League (19 points from 7 matches) and Central Stallions sit 1st (21 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Stallions | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Ulaanbaatar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 37 | 4 | 19 |
A question about Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 60%, against 18% for a draw and 22% for Central Stallions.
- Where and when is Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions played?
- Ulaanbaatar vs Central Stallions is played on October 18, 2026 at 05:00 AM (UTC) at Football Centre MFF, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.