Ulaanbaatar vs Deren: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Football Centre MFF, Ulan Bator (Ulaanbaatar)
The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Deren. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,462 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
On Elo ratings, Ulaanbaatar has 1,727 points and Deren 1,639.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ulaanbaatar vs Deren
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ulaanbaatar
Not enough data to predict the Ulaanbaatar lineup.
Deren
Not enough data to predict the Deren lineup.
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulaanbaatar have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Deren have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Central Stallions(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Central Stallions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Khovd Western(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Erchim(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Ulaangom City(home) | 8-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Hunters(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Erchim(home) | 5-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Central Stallions(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Khovd(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Khovd Western(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ulaanbaatar wins, 2 draws, 1 Deren win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2026 | Deren 0-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Ulaanbaatar 2-0 Deren | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Deren 1-1 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Deren 0-1 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
| Jun 11, 2025 | Ulaanbaatar 4-1 Deren | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Deren 2-0 Ulaanbaatar | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Ulaanbaatar score 3.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Deren score 3.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulaanbaatar | 3.8 | 0.6 | 9 | 5/15 | 10/15 |
| Deren | 3.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulaanbaatar sit 1st in Premier League (25 points from 9 matches) and Deren sit 3rd (20 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ulaanbaatar | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 25 |
| 3 | Deren | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 20 |
A question about Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulaanbaatar vs Deren?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ulaanbaatar the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Deren.
- Where and when is Ulaanbaatar vs Deren played?
- Ulaanbaatar vs Deren is played on October 29, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Football Centre MFF, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.