Ulfstind vs Tromsø II: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 5Regular Season - 26Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)TUIL Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ulfstind. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ulfstind vs Tromsø II?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Ulfstind (1,505) and Tromsø II (1,567).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulfstind have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Tromsø II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tromso(home) | 0-5 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Skjetten(home) | 4-2 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Fløya(away) | 0-7 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Skjervøy(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsø II(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bossekop(away) | 3-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strømsgodset II(away) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ulfstind(home) | 1-3 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Lillestrøm II(away) | 3-5 | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ulfstind win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tromsø II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tromsø II 1-3 Ulfstind | 3. Division - Girone 5 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tromsø II 4-1 Ulfstind | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
| May 1, 2025 | Ulfstind 0-2 Tromsø II | 3. Division - Girone 1 |
Last archived meeting: Tromsø II vs Ulfstind on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ulfstind score 1.5 and concede 3.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tromsø II score 1.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulfstind | 1.5 | 3.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Tromsø II | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ulfstind sit 13th in 3. Division - Girone 5 (14 points from 16 matches) and Tromsø II sit 12th (17 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tromsø II | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 17 |
| 13 | Ulfstind | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 52 | 14 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ulfstind vs Tromsø II?
- The Footlab model makes Tromsø II the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 39% for Ulfstind.
- Where and when is Ulfstind vs Tromsø II played?
- Ulfstind vs Tromsø II is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at TUIL Arena, in the 3. Division - Girone 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.