Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker: result 1-2 and analysis
Shield CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on May 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Afraha Stadium, Nakuru
Full time
What was the result of Ulinzi Stars vs Tusker?
Tusker won 1-2 on May 3, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 25′599192Tusker
- 42′657596Ulinzi Stars
- 90′J. MwakasabaTusker
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ulinzi Stars have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tusker have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Bandari(away) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | KCB(away) | 3-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-0 | Shield Cup |
| Apr 4, 2026 | APS Bomet(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Mara Sugar(home) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Sofapaka(home) | 0-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 14, 2026 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 1-0 | Shield Cup |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Police(away) | 0-1 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ulinzi Stars win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tusker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Tusker 1-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Ulinzi Stars 0-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Tusker 0-1 Ulinzi Stars | FKF Premier League |
| May 20, 2023 | Tusker 1-0 Ulinzi Stars | Shield Cup |
Last archived meeting: Tusker vs Ulinzi Stars on Dec 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ulinzi Stars score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ulinzi Stars | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Tusker | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy