Umeå FC vs Sollentuna: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Umeå Energi Arena SOL, Umeå
The Footlab model makes Umeå FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sollentuna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Umeå FC vs Sollentuna?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Umeå FC (1,520) and Sollentuna (1,548).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Umeå FC have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Sollentuna have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 0-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gefle IF(away) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(home) | 1-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | AFC Eskilstuna(away) | 0-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Täfteå(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | IF Karlstad(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Orebro SK(home) | 1-4 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Järfälla(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Assyriska FF(away) | 0-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Vasalund(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Umeå FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Sollentuna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Sollentuna 1-1 Umeå FC | Ettan - Norra |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Umeå FC 3-1 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Sollentuna 1-4 Umeå FC | Ettan - Norra |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Umeå FC 1-3 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
| May 18, 2023 | Sollentuna 5-2 Umeå FC | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Umeå FC 2-3 Sollentuna | Ettan - Norra |
How many goals should we expect?
Umeå FC score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sollentuna score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Umeå FC | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Sollentuna | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Umeå FC sit 13th in Ettan - Norra (17 points from 18 matches) and Sollentuna sit 12th (20 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Sollentuna | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 20 |
| 13 | Umeå FC | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | 17 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Umeå FC vs Sollentuna?
- The Footlab model makes Umeå FC the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Sollentuna.
- Where and when is Umeå FC vs Sollentuna played?
- Umeå FC vs Sollentuna is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Umeå Energi Arena SOL, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.