Vasalund vs IF Karlstad: prediction and stats
Ettan - NorraNorra - 29Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Skytteholms IP, Solna
The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vasalund. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vasalund vs IF Karlstad?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Vasalund (1,638) and IF Karlstad (1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vasalund have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; IF Karlstad have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Stocksund(home) | 4-3 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 20, 2026 | IFK Norrkoping(home) | 1-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Piteå(away) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stockholm Internazionale(home) | 2-0 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Sollentuna(home) | 1-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sollentuna(away) | 1-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Sandviken(home) | 0-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Assyriska FF(home) | 0-2 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Järfälla(away) | 4-1 | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Enköping(home) | 2-1 | Ettan - Norra |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vasalund win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 IF Karlstad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | IF Karlstad 5-0 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 24, 2025 | IF Karlstad 2-3 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| Jun 8, 2025 | Vasalund 1-3 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 11, 2024 | IF Karlstad 2-0 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Vasalund 0-1 IF Karlstad | Ettan - Norra |
| Aug 19, 2023 | IF Karlstad 1-2 Vasalund | Ettan - Norra |
Last archived meeting: IF Karlstad vs Vasalund on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Vasalund score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; IF Karlstad score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasalund | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| IF Karlstad | 1.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vasalund sit 10th in Ettan - Norra (23 points from 18 matches) and IF Karlstad sit 3rd (36 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IF Karlstad | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 15 | 36 |
| 10 | Vasalund | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vasalund vs IF Karlstad?
- The Footlab model makes IF Karlstad the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for Vasalund.
- Where and when is Vasalund vs IF Karlstad played?
- Vasalund vs IF Karlstad is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Skytteholms IP, in the Ettan - Norra.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.